Brad Miscellaneous meditation

If you want all the climate change discussion, vote for Obama

This is Halloween, I was a little afraid.

No, not the children to the front of my house, tonight's wife was at work, although I am a bit worried, sounds crazy gentle dog, Satchmo BlunderLab,, may squeeze through the crack, his tongue licking the door some The Tektronix death.

I'm really afraid of is that no matter who wins the presidential election next week, our politicians will continue to deal with the issue of climate change, like my "ghost" who is knocking on our door: "0000H, I can not see you tonight. '

You see, neither U.S. President Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney, Joe Biden, Ryan mentioned the four debates this fall any problems. It is hoped that the Frankenstorm hit the Northeast earlier this week, as a reminder, after the election, may decide who wins the concern, but I would not hold your breath.

In my opinion, this is mainly due to oil and coal interests, conservative disinformation campaign to tackle climate change into real political third rail, replace Social Security.

It boils down to is the conservatives have succeeded in sowing enough doubt - unfounded, but it is difficult to stop, because the problem is so complex, it does not fit comfortably soundbites - politicians are afraid to touch the problem. This is especially true in this election, when The opinion polls have consistently shown that voters nearly half; vote is so precious, each side have sought in the largely flat, says nothing about the multi-center, representing less potential voting, casters should feel offended.

If, however, a lot of people say, this is a harm our future not to discuss the future of Social Security, this is some of the damage is not to discuss the future of the world as we know even more. If the candidate is afraid to discuss this issue, there is a good chance before the election, the winner will be elected for the omission, vindica-.

Having said that, I believe that on this issue, there is a difference between Obama and Romney. In my opinion, Mitt Romney, in my heart to know that climate change is real - and he admitted that in the past - but will never solve this problem, because his supporters will not let him. Obama knows it is true, to solve this problem, but did not touch it during the campaign, because it was too controversial. Given time and support, he might at least try to take meaningful action. This is a bigger reason, I support his re-election: an opportunity.

There is a chance the hurricane Sandy, if Obama wins the election, IM opportunity to prove this. Of course, climate change, not alone as a hurricane / nor Easter reasons, but it is According to experts, more evidence that climate change is real, because it is fully consistent with the pattern scientists predict.

According to the respected Makati magazine "Scientific American editor Mark Fischetti in this week's article," Scientists have long taken a cautious approach, the link between climate change and hurricanes, but also began to decline, warnings and links climate changes directly to the strong storms and other extreme weather events, such as the 2012 warm winter in the eastern United States and Europe at the same time the cold.

"They are emboldened," Fischetti wrote good decision "because researchers have in the past decade has been the impact of the variables, to create a big storm Sandy a hurricane as it hovered north along the coast of the United States, the sea warm year this time, pumped storage into the cyclone system but it has been a sharp decline of more cold jet south from Canada to the United States east of the cold air, leaning against the warm Atlantic air to replenish their energy into the atmosphere , Sandy, just because it is moving to the area, the storm further expand.

"This is a climate change" Fischetti. "The issue of the jet stream south of atmospheric models is called" blocking high 'stay in the Atlantic north and south of the Arctic Ocean's a lot of pressure to ensure that the center. What causes this? The climate change phenomenon called the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Essentially, the atmospheric pressure of the countries in the region. This state can be a positive or negative impact, it changes from positive to negative two weeks prior to the arrival in Sandy.

Climate football? Charles Greene of Cornell University and other climate scientists, recent research has shown that, as more and more of the Arctic sea ice melt summer, because of global warming in the fall and winter NAO more likely to be negative, "Fischetti UED. "Negative NAO jet flow more easily impressed by a large corrugated pattern in the United States, Canada, and the Atlantic, resulting in the kinds of large southward dip occurred in the distance."

He said in a statement, "amplifier of climate change, the basic factors that contribute to storms rise. Example, ocean warming, provide more energy storm the Earth's atmosphere has warmed up, so it retains more moisture, which is the volume into the storm, and then dumped upon us. "

All of this sounds very esoteric, which makes it easy to be ignored. But Sandy, if the scientists are right, is a reminder that we face, if you do not take any measures. The hurricane caused billions of dollars in losses, is also a powerful reminder, most importantly, continue to ignore climate change may impact they did not even shut down.

For example, Fischetti said, "In a recent OP-edition of the Washington Post, James Hansen, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Research the excessive drought attributed to climate change in New York, according to 6 a few the measurement of the decade, the computer model: our analysis shows that it is no longer enough to say that global warming will increase the possibility of extreme weather and repeated warnings no single weather event can be directly related to climate change, " Hansen wrote. "On the contrary, our analysis suggests that the recent extreme hot weather, almost without any explanation other than climate change."

Hansen, according to Fischetti, "go to the conclusions written in 2011, in 2010 in Texas and Oklahoma State and catastrophic droughts, heat waves in Russia may everyone can be attributed to climate change, drawn is caused by natural variability chance of these extremes is negligible, minimal. To rely on those odds like quitting your job and play the lottery every morning to pay bills. '

Conservatives continue to deny that the solution to climate change, some surface prizing, has clearly begun to solve this problem,

Article in "Scientific American" by Joshua Zafflos, pointed out that the armed forces of the United States, and those associated with it, do not take it seriously.

He wrote, "in 2010, the Department of Defense review of climate change and energy security as prominent military weakness, and pointed out that climate change, in particular the" accelerant of instability and conflict. "This is the first discussion in the Pentagon the climate comprehensive planning documents.

The "subsequent assessment by the U.S. National Research Council found even moderate climate change will affect the Chief of Naval Operations, Zafflos. Sea level rise and more severe storm surge will reach coastal military bases and the Marine Corps is also likely to face more work, increase the humanitarian crisis and disasters. Arctic sea ice disappears open may need more patrols expected in harsh conditions, under the control of the countries and industries competing interests of new trade routes and energy resources. "

The article quoted Dennis McGinn, now as President of the Washington, DC, United States Renewable Energy Council and CNA's Military Advisory Board, deputy director of a retired Rear Admiral, 70-year-old think tank, began as a Navy anti-submarine research team in the second during the Second World War.

McGinn said in the article: "The impact of climate change is bad weather does not start the conflict itself. "But it will increase the pressure, political, religious, economic and ethnic fault lines, especially in fragile societies. U.S. is not a pretty picture."

In recent Scientific American article, Fischetti said, in the most conservative part of the insurance industry - the corporate world - is also considering climate change.

Munich Re insurance company, is one of the world's largest reinsurance company, delivered a speech entitled "bad weather in the North American study," he wrote. "According along with the report press release says," anywhere in the world the increasing number of natural disasters is more evident than in North America. "

"While many factors contributed to this trend, including an increase in the number of those living in flood-prone areas, the report pointed out that one of the main culprit of global warming," Fischetti write, because of climate change, particularly those affecting the thermal formation of waves, droughts, intense precipitation events, and in the long run, the most likely intensity of tropical cyclones. "

While others seriously, the bottom line is that Romney elected, with his coterie science, deny ostrich, there is no opportunity to prohibit Catcher transformed into desert, said that climate change will be even a little bit discussion in the halls of our power. If Obama wins, if possible, UT the input often than their debate.